Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.001378 0.001539 0.001700 0.001872 0.002051 0.002230 0.002424
2025-10-12 0.001137 0.001372 0.001613 0.001877 0.002156 0.002443 0.002756
2025-10-19 0.000927 0.001214 0.001517 0.001856 0.002222 0.002603 0.003025
2025-10-26 0.000752 0.001078 0.001431 0.001836 0.002280 0.002747 0.003271
2025-11-02 0.000606 0.000959 0.001355 0.001817 0.002332 0.002880 0.003499
2025-11-09 0.000489 0.000862 0.001293 0.001808 0.002389 0.003013 0.003725
2025-11-16 0.000394 0.000781 0.001245 0.001808 0.002452 0.003149 0.003949
2025-11-23 0.000314 0.000711 0.001202 0.001810 0.002513 0.003280 0.004165
2025-11-30 0.000275 0.000689 0.001215 0.001874 0.002642 0.003484 0.004460
2025-12-07 0.000211 0.000625 0.001172 0.001868 0.002689 0.003594 0.004648
2025-12-14 0.000145 0.000547 0.001105 0.001831 0.002696 0.003658 0.004783
2025-12-21 0.000114 0.000519 0.001100 0.001866 0.002786 0.003813 0.005018
2025-12-28 0.000063 0.000452 0.001054 0.001869 0.002859 0.003974 0.005287
2026-01-04 0.000026 0.000394 0.001017 0.001882 0.002945 0.004151 0.005579
2026-01-11 0.000002 0.000326 0.000960 0.001866 0.002997 0.004288 0.005826
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000264 0.000904 0.001850 0.003045 0.004421 0.006068
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000210 0.000851 0.001833 0.003091 0.004550 0.006303
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000165 0.000807 0.001825 0.003146 0.004688 0.006547
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000129 0.000772 0.001825 0.003210 0.004834 0.006801
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000098 0.000739 0.001828 0.003274 0.004980 0.007051
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000089 0.000751 0.001892 0.003415 0.005215 0.007404
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000063 0.000716 0.001887 0.003466 0.005343 0.007632
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000034 0.000661 0.001849 0.003475 0.005419 0.007799